September 2016, Vol. 243, No. 9

Features

Energy Opportunities Abound in South America

By Greggory M. Bigger, CEO & Chairman, QS Energy, Inc., Santa Barbara, CA

This is an overview of one the world’s most important oil producing regions. South America is the fourth-largest continent (6,890,000 square miles) and is rich in natural resources that include gold, silver, copper, iron ore, tin, natural gas and oil. Collectively, the nations of South America produce 6 MMbopd and several of these producers have emerged as important exporters to the United States and other global markets.

Although the peoples and nations of this part of the Western Hemisphere are often referred to as Latin America, our worldview is better informed by geology and the hydrocarbons underfoot and subsea, rather than by language and culture. At a later date we will provide a separate regional update on Mexico, the 10th -largest producer in the world. We believe Mexico represents an exceptional market opportunity as it is on the brink of massive new upstream production.

After 75 years of state control, our neighbor to the south is auctioning off access to its most desirable deepwater production blocks in the Gulf. Global energy powerhouses such as Shell, Chevron, ExxonMobil, British BP, French Total SA, Spanish Repsol, Norwegian Statoil and Mexican Pemex are expected to bid on the drilling rights which will likely yield 90,000 bopd, according to Mexican officials.

South America: Poised for Growth

A subcontinent of the Americas, South America consists of 12 sovereign states, plus French Guiana and the Falkland Islands, bordered by the Pacific Ocean, the Atlantic Ocean, and the Caribbean Sea. Among these nations, oil production is highest in Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Colombia and Ecuador. Known reserves in South America make up roughly 20% of the world’s provable underground and subsea oil deposits.

The greatest concentrations of oil and natural gas on the continent are found in the Orinoco Belt and Maracaibo Basin, both in Venezuela, and the area adjacent to El Tigre, a 75-mile, north-south trending fault in Argentina. Two significant basins located in deepwater offshore Brazil’s southeast coast provide that nation with close to 3 MMbopd output, placing it first among South American countries and ninth in the world.

The wealth brought by the wide range of export commodities found throughout the continent has resulted in both prosperity and economic stability as well as corruption, strife and political upheaval. Most of the energy resources in South America have historically been controlled entirely by state-owned petroleum entities.

Emblematic of the nationalized nature of the oil and gas industry in this region is Petrobras. Created in 1953 when the Brazilian government granted Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) a legal monopoly over all its hydrocarbon resources, the company has grown substantially beyond its primary production regions of the Recôncavo and Carmópolis oil fields and offshore Campos and Santos basins.

Petrobras is ranked 58th on the Fortune Global 500 List and owns or controls oil and gas assets in 16 countries which include Africa, North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. However, this semi-public multinational corporation has endured periods of mismanagement and corruption and is $128 billion in debt. A highly publicized $3 billion corruption scandal in 2014 rocked its leadership and entangled several highly placed government officials, the fallout of which continues to destabilize Brazil’s leadership.

The second-largest producer of hydrocarbons on the continent, Venezuela (ranked 12th globally), nationalized its oil industry in 1975, creating Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA). Ecuador’s Petroecuador is also state-owned, created from the original national petroleum company Corporación Estatal Petrolera Ecuatoriana (CEPE) formed in 1972.

Colombia’s national oil company, Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos, was chartered in 1948 and subsequently launched in 1951 to supersede the Tropical Oil Co., the nation’s first producer. In 2003, the Colombian government restructured it as Ecopetrol S.A., a public stock-holding corporation. On April 1, 2013 the pipeline and other transportation-related assets of Ecopetrol were transferred to Cenit (Cenit-Transporte y Logistica de Hidrocarburos S.A.S.) a wholly owned subsidiary.

Fortunately, after generations of heavy-handed nationalization of hydrocarbon resources, a wave of investment-friendly privatization is sweeping through South America. Many of these governments are opening up access to their resources by partnering with foreign energy companies and auctioning off mineral rights to their largest deposits of oil and gas. Venezuela’s PDVSA has entered into joint ventures with Chevron, China National Petroleum Corp., Repsol and others to initiate several major projects that will require over $100 billion in capitalization.

As one of the most liberalized of the formerly completely state-owned energy entities, Bogotá-based Ecopetrol is intently pursuing foreign capital and joint venture partners. Earlier this year the company announced Ronda Campos 2016, an open auction of 20 of its most prized production assets, kicking off its five-year strategy for “creating sustainable value and more efficient operation of assets” in an effort to generate maximum profitability for its shareholders.

Producing over 60% of its national crude oil output and owner of Reficar, its biggest refinery, Ecopetrol is the largest company in Colombia and one of the top 50 largest oil companies in the world. However, the nation’s 5,200 miles of primary and secondary crude oil of pipelines are woefully inadequate to transport its daily output of roughly 1 MMbpd. An over-reliance on tanker trucks to transport crude has been a costly drag on margins and resulted in reduced competitiveness, especially in today’s supply surplus global market.

In response to the government’s commitment to improving energy infrastructure, Ecopetrol’s subsidiary Cenit, operator of the bulk of the nation’s oil and gas pipelines and hydrocarbon storage facilities, spent $732 million in 2014 to increase pipeline capacity. As a result, daily takeaway was expanded by 150,000 bpd to a total of 954,000 bpd (crude oil) and 231,000 bpd (naphtha and other hydrocarbons).

To reach the Ministry of Mines and Energy’s goal of a national pipeline capacity of 1.4 million bpd, Cenit plans to invest $4 billion by 2019. In addition to optimizing the performance of existing pipelines, takeaway capacity will be expanded through ambitious construction projects in each of Colombia’s primary crude oil production regions.

Ecopetrol subsidiary Cenit is investing close to $4 billion to expand the capacity of six of Colombia’s major crude oil pipelines. (Map courtesy of Ecopetrol S.A.)
Ecopetrol subsidiary Cenit is investing close to $4 billion to expand the capacity of six of Colombia’s major crude oil pipelines. (Map courtesy of Ecopetrol S.A.)

 

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